Consumer Credit Demands Pick Up In April
Flow of Funds
The Federal Reserve released new data for the first quarter of 2011. According to the report, household net worth increased by $943.4 billion in Q1 to $58.1 trillion from $57.1 trillion in Q4, 2010. The assets of households increased in the first quarter and liabilities declined somewhat. On the assets side, financial assets increased by $1.16 trillion while nonfinancial assets (primarily owner occupied real estate) declined by almost $340 billion. Liabilities declined by about $74 billion, which was mostly accounted for by a decline in the amount of home mortgage liabilities. Household net worth continues to gradually improve, but remains off by about $6.1 trillion since the start of the recession.
Consumer Credit
In April total consumer credit grew 3.1% at an annual rate, or $6.3 billion, to a total of $2.428 trillion. March’s gain was revised down to $4.8 billion (previously $6.0 billion). Revolving credit resumed its interminable decline, falling 1.4% in April after a brief uptick in March of 0.1%. Non-revolving credit increased at a 5.3% annual rate after increasing at a 3.5% pace in the previous month. Consumer demand for credit picked up a bit in April, even as consumers remain dedicated to reducing credit card debt.
International Trade Balance
The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services narrowed to -$43.7 billion in April from a downward-revised -$46.8 billion in March. Exports rose 1.3% to $175.6 billion and imports declined by 0.4% to $219.2 billion. Some of the slowdown in imports was due to a reduction from Japan, which we expect to increase again in coming months. The trade deficit in goods narrowed to -$58.1 billion and the trade surplus in services increased to $14.4 billion in April. While it’s still early in the quarter, these numbers suggest that net exports will contribute positively to economic growth in the second quarter.
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